LONDON SEEING MAJOR PROPERTY PRICE INCREASES

[We have heard many times: in term of house prices rising, London sets the pace, then the South East follows, then the Midlands, then it goes west and further North... In this article dated 9 February 2012, http://www.knightfrank.co.uk/ are showing figures of a nice growth in January, I would say: definitely too early to get excited but it's some news...

Another reason - I believe that could impact- is that from 24th March, first time buyers who are currently exempt from stamp duty on homes costing between £125,000 and £250,000will have to pay 1% (if you can find anything below £250k in London!).
What do you think?]

The price of Prime Central London residential property rose overall by 0.9% in January, according to the latest figures from Knight Frank.
Meanwhile, prices for prime property in the City and City Fringe areas rose by an average of 0.8% across the month.
This latest rise pushed the three-month rate of growth to 2.7%, the highest rate since July 2011.


Annual growth now stands at 11.9%, with prices rising 42% since their post-Lehman low in March 2009.
Liam Bailey, Knight Frank’s head of residential research, said: “The strength of London’s luxury sector, against a backdrop of economic difficulties both domestically and globally, has surprised many over the past year.
“Ironically economic and even political turmoil have provided the impetus for growth – with a sharp growth in investors looking for a safe-haven location for at least part of their wealth portfolio.
“The sector leading price growth at the current time is the £1-£2.5million segment, which provides a perfect investment lot size for investors, prices in this price range have risen 14.4% over the past 12 months.
“Recent price growth reflects healthy growth in demand, new applicant volumes are up by 10% over the past year, compared to stock volumes which have risen by only 6%.
“The imbalance in supply and demand is most pronounced in the £5million+ sector, where applicant registrations are higher by 65% year-on-year.
“Over the past five years the ratio between the number of applicants registering to purchase properties in central London, and the stock of properties to buy has averaged 3.7. In the last three months, despite a weaker economic environment the ratio rose to hit 4.1.
“For the £5million market the ratio shifted from a historic position of 3.4 buyers per property to 6.4 – reflecting the historic undersupply at the upper end of the market.
“Our outlook remains that prices will rise 5% in 2012, driven in large part by international demand and relatively constrained supply.
“Finally, prices for prime property in the City and Fringe, an area we added to our index last year, kept pace with the wider PCL market in January, rising by an average of 0.8% across the month.”
Charlie Hart, head of the Knight Frank City & East team, said: “We expect the earning power of the traditional local demographic to grow with the continuing success of the London tech and creative industries which have traditionally populated this Fringe area. The scarcity of product will drive demand and therefore pricing for the foreseeable future, enabling the City and City Fringe to sustain prime central London pricing levels.”

[Please leave your comments below please, thank you :-) ]

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BUYING IS CHEAPER THAN RENTING

[This is an interesting subject from The Telegraph where Halifax is claiming that it is cheaper to buy than rent. Do you think this is an 100% accurate statement? or simply a hype to create more interest in a very calm market? Let me have your thoughts on this...]

Home owners are now getting a better deal than those who shell out rent every month in nearly all regions of the UK

According to research done by Halifax, buying a home in the UK is over a £100 a month cheaper than renting. The typical monthly cost of buying a three bedroom house was £600 towards the end of 2011, making it £116 lower than the average monthly rent of £716 paid on the same property.

This will be welcome news for December’s mortgage seekers when mortgage approvals reached a 19-month high and grossed some £9bn.

Martin Ellis, housing economist at Halifax, said: “The affordability gains for buyers relative to renters in the last three years have been significant. The average mortgage payment has fallen dramatically over recent years as a result of falling house prices and mortgage rates. At the same time, rents have risen due to strong demand for rented accommodation.”

This is a significant turnaround compared with three years ago when the average cost of buying was 29pc higher than the average rent paid.

Ellis continued: “Nonetheless, despite the improvement in the relative affordability of buying a home, the number of purchasers has continued to fall due to the ongoing challenges in raising a deposit and the considerable uncertainty over the prospects for the UK economy, which have severely constrained housing demand.”

Halifax estimates that there were around 510,000 home purchases with a mortgage in 2011, making it the lowest annual total since 1974 and 6pc lower than in 2010.

Much of this decline can be attributed to the increase in the size of the deposit required, with the size of the average deposit put down more than doubling over the past decade. In addition, higher costs related to moving home such as stamp duty and estate agents fees have also added to the overall cost of home buying.

Despite having higher total costs, buying is currently most affordable relative to renting in London, where the average private renter pays up 10.2pc more per month than the typical homeowner. In fact renting is the dearer option in almost all regions except Wales, where renting remains cheaper.

[Please don't forget to leave your thoughts on the subject below... thank you]

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HOUSING MARKET ‘NOT SET FOR SLUMP’

[Interesting article from before Christmas (Monday 12 December 2011) by Catherine Wylie on the Independent News http://www.independent.co.uk .  Halifax forecast says that the 2012 market will remain stable. Whenever you have got a portfolio or are starting investing, you most probably have different hope for this year's market...]

The “highly resilient” housing market will not suffer a slump in 2012 as many fear, but will instead remain subdued and stable, according to a forecast released by Halifax today.
 

Despite the significant deterioration in the outlook for both the UK and global economies, the housing market has held up with the current average sale price of a house – at £161,731 – little changed from the end of last year.

Halifax expects little movement in prices in 2012 – estimating a range of between 2% and minus 2% – but with the market set to be strongest in London and the South East there are further signs of a north/south divide in fortunes.

Halifax’s outlook is based on Bank of England interest rates remaining at a record low of 0.5% throughout 2012 and the positive impact this will have on levels of forced selling and in mortgage affordability for home buyers.

Martin Ellis, Halifax’s housing economist, said: “This resilience in the face of very challenging economic conditions provides encouragement regarding the prospects for next year.”


housing slump

The Halifax noted that the rate of mortgage affordability for new borrowers was at its lowest point since 1997, having fallen from a peak of 48% of average disposable earnings in 2007 to 26% in the third quarter of this year, which is significantly below the average of 37% over the past 25 years.

Halifax said the favourable affordability position will help to keep down the numbers of homeowners forced to sell their properties because they cannot keep up with mortgage payments.

When the number of forced sellers is high, there is usually a sharp fall in house prices, so this scenario is more likely to be avoided with an affordable interest rate.

However, the Halifax warned that demand for housing will be constrained by the weak economic growth and the prospect of high levels of unemployment led by large-scale public sector job losses.

Pressure on household finances is also likely to be a factor in subdued demand for housing, as families continue to keep a tight hold on their purse strings and focus on reducing their debts.

Mr Ellis added: “Overall, we expect continuing broad stability in house prices nationally during 2012. Prices are again likely to end the year at levels close to where they begin with the market continuing to lack any real direction.”

[good read isn't it! what do you think?
please leave your comments below... thanks]

 

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INTEREST RATES: WHEN WILL THE UK BANK RATE RISE AGAIN?

[I guess that s the £1m question on everyone's lips!!!

Below is an article extracted from http://www.thisismoney.co.uk and written by Andrew Oxlade on 04 January 2012
The latest is that the NEXT interest rate rise would be towards the end of 2015!  Somehow a great news for those with a portfolio, Even if the house prices are not going up as yet, (the last budget forecast predicted house prices to increase by 15% up to 2017-2018),  the rental market is strong!
We have a few years to plan carefully our cash flow strategy...
What's your plan???]

We wish we could give an exact forecast on the future of the UK base rate, but we can’t. We CAN, however, arm you with the right information and views from those in the know so you can make your own call (this round-up is updated every few days).

BoE expected to keep interest rates on hold

The MPC voted to ‘hold’ again in December and a rise looks a long way off – the range of predictions are 2013 to 2016.

The grim new forecasts for the economy in November’s mini-Budget made rate rises even less likely. And the worsening state of the eurozone crisis – which will damage the UK economy – continues to push out predictions of the first UK bank rate rise.

There was a particularly sharp move in mid-December as markets appeared to all but give up hope of a rate rise before the middle of the decade. The forecast has since remained fairly static, predicting the first rise in late 2015.

The prospect of low rates for years exists despite inflation remaining painfully high – it hit a peak of 5.2% (11 October) but is slowly easing back, down to 4.8% in the latest figures (13 December). Policymakers are adamant it will fall back further next year, and be under the 2% target by 2013.

The committee has dismissed inflation concerns and is more focused on heading off a double-dip recession. At its October meeting, it opted to restart its quantitative easing programme – an electronic form of money printing. The MPC minutes revealed members talked about £100billion of QE before agreeing on £75billion.

The vote was 9-0 in in favour of holding rates in December - the fifth month in a row of unanimity. Members had been locked at a 7-2 vote for two months before that and it was 6-3 earlier this year when a rate rise looked a possibility.

That shift in voting reflects the remarkable and rapid movement in forecasts for rates last summer, with predictions for the first rise, week by week, taking huge strides into the future:

- In March/April, a rise was seen as imminent;
- In
June, the forecast was for a hike in July/August 2012;
- By early August, futures markets earmarked early 2013 for the first increase;
- By October, the market priced early 2014 for a rate rise.
- By November, the market priced early 2015 for a rate rise.
- By mid-December, it suggested late 2015.

[Excited? Disagree? Not bothered?
Let me know by leaving your comments below...]

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HOUSE PRICES ‘DOWN 50% SINCE BOOM’ IN IRELAND

[Interesting article from http://uk.news.yahoo.com written by the Press Association – Tue 03 January 2012.
Do you believe the numbers those reports have revealed? Have you experienced this yourself?
Please leave your comment at the bottom of the article]

House prices have fallen by around 50% since the peak of the housing boom, two reports have revealed.

Ireland property market down 50pc

Daft.ie said asking prices for residential properties fell by an average of 7.7% in the last three months of 2011 and 18% over the year.

And MyHome.ie said its prices dropped by 2.4% in the last quarter and by 13% over the last 12 months.

But both maintained people are paying just half of what was forked out at the end of 2006 and in 2007.

Daft.ie said the average asking price is now just over 175,000 euro, 52% below its 2007 peak of 366,000 euro.

Ronan Lyons, economist with Daft.ie, said: “It is tempting to see larger house price falls as a bad thing and no doubt many, particularly those in negative equity, will see this dramatic fall in those terms.

“However, if the size of the correction in house prices is determined by fundamental factors, then it is better for the prices to race to the finishing line than crawl there.”

Author of the MyHome.ie report, Annette Hughes of DKM Economic Consultants, found asking prices nationally are now down by 43% to 236,000 euro compared to the end of 2006, while Dublin prices are down 50% over the same period – to 268,000 euro.

She said the economy remains in a fragile position and that the prospects for economic growth in 2012 remain uncertain.

“House prices will not stabilise until we have a period of sustained economic and employment growth,” Ms Hughes warned.

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ARE HMOs / STUDENT ACCOMODATIONS THE ONLY WAY?

[Interest rates can only go 1 way & that is up, so cashflow is key!
Yields tend to be very low in many places around the country and particularly London, so naturally, more and more landlords are considering switching from the single dwelling to multi. Renting to students is a great niche. Please read the interesting article below published on 7-Dec-11 on the following site: http://www.investortoday.co.uk and let me have your comments about the subject.]

 

It can be said that 2011 has been the year of increased awareness of student accommodation investments by private landlords and buy-to-let investors. The asset class is no longer limited to property funds. Everyday people have confidently entered the market by purchasing student investment pods in university halls across the United Kingdom. The question is which is the best city to invest in student accommodation?

The Knight Frank 2011 student accommodation report points to the top 20 university cities for investment. The knowledgeable staff and research team have spend considerable time in accessing the student market and have based their final selection on ‘a number of key variables – rents, investment yields and capital values – and is based on the achievable return of both en-suite bedrooms and studio apartments. Data was been collated from over 20,000 purpose-built student bedrooms located across key university towns and cities in the UK.’

The research tracked the key criterion over fives years and found that London is Ranked number 1 for Student Accommodation investment. In terms of future market requirements, there is a structural undersupply of ‘value’ accommodation in London, good-value en-suites aimed at the £150-£200 per week price bracket. In the Knight Frank Global Wealth Survey; ‘which examined the views of 350 wealth professionals, London was ranked the highest amongst all global cities for its educational offer and this factor was deemed a key purchaser motive amongst the world’s super-rich.’

hmo student accommodation

Student Accommodation in London presented the highest investment potential because of demand, supply and local economic fundamentals. The higher rents and investor yields can be achieved in London due to the fact that 25% of the full time students are post-graduates and 35% are International students that will rent the accommodation for the full 51 week period.

‘There have been a number of student pod investments for sale to private investors across the UK’, says investment analyst Graham Flaherty of One Touch Property. Greenwich Student Accommodation Investment is the first of its kind in London. Its proximity of only 100 metres away from a Greenwich university campus and net yields of 9% will make it an attractive proposition for investors’. The first 20 student pods were purchased within one week is a clear demonstration that there is a hunger for London Student property investments.

Last year Knightsbridge Student Housing was established with backing from Oaktree Capital Management Ltd with the aim of acquiring £1 billion worth of assets in the UK student housing market. The large investment funds continue to show significant interest in the UK student market and are confident of the future investment returns demonstrated by the considerable investments being made by them.

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WHAT’S NEXT FOR BRITAIN’S PROPERTY MARKET??

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LONDON COMMERCIAL PROPERTY MARKET ‘IS WORLD’S BEST FOR FOREIGN INVESTMENT’

[Interesting article posted  on http://www.commercialfinancegroup.co.uk by Tony Wilbon where he talks about the London commercial property market and its strength at the top end.

Do you know about the commercial property market?
Have you already invested in commercial property?
Are you going to invest in commercial property?
Let me know, leave your comments below]

Foreign buyers are investing heavily in London.

The strength of the London commercial property market has been illustrated by the latest industry figures.

Cushman and Wakefield, the global real estate specialists, have revealed the English capital is the second most successful sector in the world – behind only New York.

However, in some areas, the city excelled even further – such as in attracting foreign investment, for which it came out on top.

Despite a marginal fall of 1.9 per cent last year, London did enough to prove itself the most attractive place to non-native occupiers of office space.

Commenting, David Hutchings, head of the European Research Group at Cushman and Wakefield, said, “A whole range of factors above and beyond size and wealth go to make cities a success, ranging from classic business location priorities through to softer factors such as image and liveability.”

Richard Kauntze, chief executive of the British Council for Offices, recently recommended looking towards the outskirts of central London for the perfect commercial property deal.

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